Archive for the ‘fun with bribery’ Category

Bowing to the Highest Bidder

Tuesday, August 18th, 2009

Supermarket News is reporting that Harris Teeter has been outbid by a private equity firm in its quest to acquire Ukrops Supermarkets. This is an interesting development, as Harris Teeter seemed a natural fit to take over the now struggling, family-run grocer.

Additionally, private equity firms are not generally known for having a gentle touch, which would add additional uncertainty for Ukrop’s employees and their communities.

Harris Teeter, the un-named private equity firm, and other stakeholders should also consider contacting the Office of Thrift Supervision to see why Q2 financial information on Ukrops’ Supermarkets was withheld from First Market Bank’s recent federal filing. Ukrops, as a holding company for First Market Bank, is required to disclose financial metrics such as earnings and debt load in quarterly filings with its banking regulator. The Q1 filing showed that Ukrops was barely profitable and operating under a staggering debt load of nearly $100 million.

More on this as it develops.

Exit Stage Right

Sunday, August 16th, 2009

nudeonbike2
Previously unpublished photograph of the original SAVE RICHMOND staff. From left to right: Andrew Beaujon, “Eagle Eyes” and Don Harrison. Not pictured and probably hiding: Ewa Beaujon.

Don here. I sat down to write a teary-eyed goodbye and to say how much I’m going to miss everybody and how it was the end of an era and that times are changing and the cow jumped over the moon… blah blah blah.

And then I realized that I’m not really going anywhere.

At any rate, it’s all true. Your humble narrator has accepted a position at Style Weekly — I’m the new Arts and Culture Editor. But it’s not all a kick and a gas. I have to give up posting here at Save Richmond.

That doesn’t mean SR is going away. This web address will live on. “Eagle Eyes” will continue to post here, and bring you his tenaciously-researched overview of Metro Richmond. Yes, he is a skeleton in a top hat (see photo above) but don’t let that shake you.

And, obviously, I’m not going to go away either. I have to assume that, if you read Save Richmond, you also read Style Weekly. If not, get thee to a big newsbox adorned with an S immediately! Or click on this spot right here. Save Richmond has been linking to Style’s excellent arts and news coverage, and discussing their reporting, for years. Now I get to work with these talented people. How cool is that?

A couple of weeks ago, when we celebrated our sixth anniversary, I explained that Save Richmond didn’t start out as a blog. And it would never have been one without the seminal snark of Andrew Beaujon and the early support of his wife Ewa Beaujon. Save Richmond has also been enhanced by the savvy financial forensics work of “Eagle Eyes” — that kid’s a keeper. Basically, all I’ve been trying to do here is to keep up with those folks.

Damn. Now I’m getting teary eyed.

(But I’m cheered by the news that I’m getting my Christmas present early this year. That’s a hint, by the way.)

Thanks everyone. See you at Style.

The Answers From CenterStage

Wednesday, August 12th, 2009

Don here. When Eagle Eyes and I submitted our “Twenty Questions” to CenterStage earlier in the summer, I thought we were being very easy on them.

We didn’t ask about an artists endowment — there isn’t one — or the rumors that ticket sales for the CenterStage grand opening weekend have been slow. And we didn’t ask why there is so little of substance announced on the initial event schedule (BTW: Bringing in The Oak Ridge Boys is actually a good idea. In the context of a full and diverse schedule of events, that is. So where’s the rest? Or is this it?)

We didn’t ask about the parking situation, although there seems to be some problems there too. And we didn’t press too hard on how the Foundation intends to respect the history (ahem!) of the historic Richmond theatres they’ve been handed the keys to, and given considerable public subsidy to oversee and to safeguard. Perhaps, in light of recent events, we should have.

[Incidentally, it's always worth reminding people that this project is, was and will be funded by public tax dollars. So anyone who tries to tell you that CenterStage, or RPAC, or VAPAF — whatever you want to call them — should be able to do with its "history" what it wants — like a private company reworking a new sales brochure — has an awfully broad and somewhat shitty view of both history and what it means to be a leader in the public trust.]

No, we didn’t press Jeff and Jay at Capital Results PR (who officially handled our inquiries about the project — thanks guys!) about such things as the lack of an artistic director — we assumed there would be one. After all, wasn’t there a guy named Joel Katz? And didn’t he run the Carpenter Center successfully for ten years with very little city subsidy? He was fired for truth-telling too.

Why does having an artistic director — a “vision” — matter? Let’s take a look at a reputable arts venue named CenterStage — Baltimore’s CenterStage — which does not take city tax dollars and is overseen by a staff that includes a seasoned artistic director. If you want a good example closer to home, take a look at the diverse international arts programs that the director of The American Theatre in Hampton, Michael Curry, brings to Tidewater each season in a former second-run movie house (click here for the 2009-10 schedule).

Gee, let’s get even closer than that. Think of Kathy Panoff and what she accomplished in building UR’s Modlin Center.

Make no mistake, folks. This stuff matters. You can’t pass your programming and your artistic direction off to a hockey arena promoter (in this case, SMG) and expect to have a “world class performing arts center.” It just doesn’t compute.

Anyway, we promised the boys at Capital Results that we would print their official answers “as is” with a very minimum of linking and editorializing. But forgive us for pointing out facts when the answers fail to do so, and please allow us the opportunity to tell you why some of these questions might just be a wee bit important, and especially to those people who say they support this thing and want it to work.

There was also one “followup” question that we are still a little unclear about.

But you’ll read all about it… as you wade through…

[Cue trumpets, or "Elvira" — your pick]

The Answers From CenterStage.

And for those of you coming in late to the CenterStage / Virginia Performing Arts Center story, feel free to plunder our archives. And start asking your own questions. After all, you are paying for this particular “serious fun,” whether you like it or not.

Can’t Rewrite History

Saturday, August 8th, 2009

thank-you

Hilarious article by Will Jones in today’s RTD covering the feud between the Centerstage Foundation and the journalist it hired to write the project’s definitive history. It seems seeing the truth in the printed word was too much for Foundation officials.


The tale of Richmond CenterStage, from its origin as Loew’s Theatre to Richmond’s “most significant — and costliest — arts initiative,” will not be told by the writer originally commissioned for the project.

The CenterStage Foundation killed plans to publish “Richmond CenterStage: A Dream Fulfilled” after author Roy Proctor refused to do additional research and to rewrite his draft to downplay controversies over the $73.5 million project.

“I could not possibly have adhered to those things because I would have been falsifying history on a monumental scale,” said Proctor, who retired in 2004 as an arts writer and critic for the Richmond Times-Dispatch.

The Foundation’s if you can’t make it happen, make it up attitude is summed up by board member Sue Fitz-Hugh who helpfully admits, “We didn’t hire him as a journalist…We hired him as an author.” Perhaps Nick Naylor is available.

You should read the final comments by Proctor twice, because they cut to the heart of this project’s history. How going about things the wrong way can poison what may have started out as a noble effort. Critics of CenterStage are not against the arts or kids or old people or sunshine, but rather how the Foundation’s leadership have comported themselves and wasted public money.


“If you had told me last summer that I had to write a book according to those rules, I would have rejected the commission out of hand,” Proctor responded in an e-mail to Erin Rodman, marketing manager for the CenterStage Foundation. Proctor provided copies of his book draft and e-mail exchanges with the foundation to The Times-Dispatch upon request.

Proctor said he supports CenterStage, and his introduction to the book said it’s a story about “renewed life.”

Other items soon to induce coffee spillage on at least one of the 400 RTDs delivered each morning to 110 Virginia Street (somebody has to keep Media General in business, ya know)…Q2 financial information on First Market Bank and Ukrops Supermarkets from the FDIC.

Photo credit: Fox Searchlight Films
Posted by EE

Ukrops to Sell Out - You Heard it Here First

Tuesday, July 14th, 2009

As reported at RichmondBizsense, Food World’s Best-Met Publishing and last but most certainly least, the TimesDispatch, Ukrops Supermarkets is officially for sale. From Best-Met:


Now it appears that Richmond’s oldest and most distinguished retail organization, Ukrop’s Super Markets, may be looking to sell its 28 units. Officially, the company wouldn’t address those reports specifically, noting that it doesn’t comment on rumors, but multiple industry sources confirmed to us that a prospectus has been issued detailing vital Ukrop’s store data and seeking interest in a potential sale. Those retailers who have reportedly responded to the prospectus include Supervalu (Ukrop’s principal supplier), Ahold and Harris Teeter (Ruddick Corp.). Several sources believed that Harris Teeter remains the frontrunner and that Supervalu (which currently has many issues on its plate) has dropped out the potential acquisition process.

Readers of our humble site have been aware for several weeks that the sale was in the works. Disclosures in SEC filings for Ukrops Supermarkets’ affililiate First Market Bank, as well as loose lips at Virginia ABC had tipped us off. The question now becomes how much is it worth?

While SaveRichmond has not obtained a copy of the Ukrops prospectus, our general thought is that the grocery operation has little residual value. Information disclosed in the bank’s most recent FDIC filing shows that the supermarket had net profit of only $465,000 in the first quarter of 2009 while crushed with a debt load of about $100 million. Ukrops has so far failed to answer the first challenge in its history from higher end operations like Whole Foods, Trader Joes, Fresh Market and an invigorated Ellwood-Thompson’s. For decades Ukrops had been able to use the political aparatus to withold incentives from competitors and limit their incursion. While this remains the case today in the city, the counties have grown too far too fast to remain captive. And this is where the competition has made the most inroads.

We believe that revenue and net profits going forward will come under increasing pressure from better funded, alchohol-selling, open-on-Sundays rivals. While there may be real estate and other assets of some value, why would anyone pay up for a struggling local grocery chain?

In addition, we believe any supermarket sale could threaten the proposed sale of First Market Bank to Union Bankshares. Many of First Market Banks branches, and a significant amount of its deposits are located in the grocery stores themselves. The financial condition of the bank is deteriorating. Without the Ukrop name and the symbiotic bank/grocery relationship, will the bank’s business remain with Bowling Green-based Union Bankshares?

This could turn into a big, big mess where neither sale goes through.

If You’re Healthy And You Know It, Pay Back TARP

Wednesday, June 10th, 2009


“We’re going to find out who are the strongest kids on the block and who are not,” said Bert Ely, a longtime banking analyst.

Eagle Eyes here. Yesterday, the Treasury Department gave the O.K. to ten of the nation’s seventeen largest banks to repay funds received from the Troubled Asset Relief Program (”TARP”). Former Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke had forced the ten to accept bailout cash last fall, even though they may not have needed it, in a gambit to obscure the identity of the weaker, actual intended targets of the prorgam (specifically Citigroup and Bank of America), avoid runs on those banks, and preserve the nation’s teetering financial system.

Smaller, regional and local banks, also struggling in the face of surging loan and investment losses, lobbied hard and were subsequently included in the program. On February 6 of this year, Richmond-based First Market Bank received $33.9 million in bailout greenery.

Almost immediately after the worst of the financial storm passed, stronger banks chafed under the increased government scrutiny on executive pay and risk-taking and fought hard to gain clearance to repay the bailout money:


[Jamie] Dimon, calling money received through the Troubled Asset Relief Program “a scarlet letter” and “the TARP baby,” said on a conference call with reporters today that the New York- based bank is awaiting guidance from the U.S. Treasury Department. “We could pay it back tomorrow,” he said.

BB&T CEO Kelly King told analysts the TARP funds are “destructive” to the company.

“Our plan is to repay the [TARP funds] as soon as it is humanly possible,” Kelly said. “It creates excessive controls, it has a negative impact on our people and our strategies” and “it runs a great risk of politicizing the lending process, which is very unhealthy.”


“The company believes it has sufficient capital and access to capital to operate without the TARP money,” CEO W. Moorhead Vermilye said in a statement released last month when Shore Bancshares applied for permission to repay TARP funds.

In the March press release, Vermilye echoed that sentiment, saying: “It has become clear to us that the public, including many members of Congress, view institutions that participated in Tarp as having done so because they are weak, and not because they wanted to do their part to foster economic recovery.”

Weaker banks, with too little capital to pay back TARP, instead fired up the PR machine (I’m guessing “Troubled” is not a word loved by their marketers):


First Market gets TARP infusion of $33.9 million
“The TARP funds are meant for healthy banks,” said Katie Gilstrap, spokeswoman for First Market. “First Market has a very conservative credit culture. We have never been involved in subprime or risky loans.”


Bailout’ it’s not, Virginia bankers say
Virginia bankers cringe at the word “bailout.”

Many have applied for money that the federal government began offering last fall to boost lending in frozen credit markets.

But banking officials don’t want to be included with AIG Inc. and Citigroup Inc., or the automobile-manufacturing industry, as beholden to federal taxpayers for their financial prosperity…

However, now that certain banks have been deemed strong enough to return bailout funds (about two dozen smaller banks have already mailed Timmy G. the check) there is an easy way to accurately differentiate between “good” and “bad” banks. As a result, there will be tremendous pressure on banks to repay in order to avoid being lumped in the latter category. We should all pay close attention to those that cannnot.

It will be very interesting to see if First Market and its new suitor Union Bankshares (which received $59 million in TARP) can return the money. I’m guessing they don’t have the quan.

First Market has operated on a relatively thin capital base since a 2005 reorganization that saw Markel Corp replace SunTrust as a minority owner. Losses on loans and investments eroded their capital further.

And the news isn’t getting any better. First Market’s major lines of business include construction loans, home equity lines of credit, commercial real estate loans and auto loans, all showing significant deterioration at First Market and industrywide. Last week, large local builder Prospect Homes declared bankruptcy. Prospect owed First Market $4.2 million, or about 5% of First Market’s pre-TARP equity capital. Ouch! A few more losses like that one and they might have been graced by a late Friday knock at the door.

But, of course, Jim Ukrop leads a charmed life. With the taxpayers’ $33.9 million in his vault, he can keep the doors open and push though a sale to Union Bankshares that will reap him and his family somewhere on the order of $60 million+. But, if First Market is not going to pay TARP back, at least he can spare us all the “healthy bank” charade.

P.S. How about Richmondbizsense.com needing only about a year to take over as the source for local business news - well done guys!

P.S.S. Wouldn’t it be nice if we could all have a major newspaper give us tons of free advertising under the guise of journalism like this this this (only 6 sold?!) and this?

P.S.S.S. Ukrops Supermarkets only made a $465k profit last quarter and has about $100 million in debt. Better sell it fast…

P.S.S.S.S. Anthony Markel just sold more than $19 million of his Markel stock. Should you sell yours?

Memphis Stadium Bonds Default

Thursday, May 28th, 2009

Eagle Eyes here. From Bloomberg comes news that the Memphis Redbirds Foundation has defaulted on the bonds it issued in 1998 to build Autozone Park:

Among the latest to default: the Memphis Redbirds Foundation, which in 1998 sold $72 million in sports facility revenue bonds to help pay for a minor-league baseball franchise and a 14,000-seat stadium in downtown Memphis.

All over the country, boosters of ballpark developments have repeatedly used Memphis, as well as Louisville, to justify their case. In both instances the ballparks spurred some ancillary development, making Chambers of Commerce drool. This default does not necessarily diminish this progress, although some return should be expected from spending so much money in these areas.

This news does put one more nail in the coffin of the idea that such projects are ever “free.” Clearly, in Memphis’s case, the project was not even close to being economical or self-sustaining: revenue generated by the ballpark was not nearly sufficient to pay for its construction and operation. And although attendence has fallen the last three years, the Redbirds are still the highest grossing team in minor league baseball. Read that last sentence again. So, if they can’t make it work…

The takeaway from this lesson is that the developers of projects in and around these stadiums receive a form of subsidy, and a pretty significant one at that, from whatever entity pays for the ballpark contruction. It’s pretty easy to see in the Memphis example that there has been a direct transfer of wealth from the bond investors to the developers and property owners. And, while the details of these deals (especially the financing structure) can be slightly different from case to case, I think this remains the universal truth. The developers will not proceed with their projects without the ballpark, and they ain’t paying for the ballpark. You think the bond investors, who just took one in the solar plexus, want another? Count on Richmond’s ballpark to need big, and ongoing, taxpayer support.

So now we are left with the honest debate: do we think this is the highest and best use for $60 million of our tax dollars? Are there things we could do with this money, other than economic development, that would provide greater benefit to the city? If we like economic development, is this the best project? I will be charitable with the purveyors of stadiums and performing arts centers when I say that the jury is still out as to whether these projects actually have a positive economic impact, net of their enormous costs. The legitimate evidence and studies suggest that, in most cases, they do not. So to the questions above, I will add one more: do we care that our tax money will be providing a subsidy that will enrich Highwoods (and all of the other remoras up and down the foodchain of this project) with perhaps no net measurable benefit to the city?

It continues to confound me that Richmond is always the last stop for each of these pied pipers’ tours. Whether its baseball stadiums, convention centers, performing arts facilities or festival marketplaces, there isn’t a hair-brained development scheme we haven’t bought. And we always seem to jump in just as evidence is mounting that the idea is bunk. We’re like that poor kid in junior high that wore O.P.’s or jorts one season too long.

Finally, as I’ve said before, I am partial to the baseball stadium (vs other screwy economic development schemes) because of my love of the game, not because I think there is anything magical about the project. I had Sunday season tickets for the Braves, and I would hope to do the same wherever the new team plays. It seems to me that there will be more to do in and around the stadium, and sooner, if it’s in Shockoe. So if the city is bound and determined to spend itself into oblivion, at least they can build something I’ll use.

Who Owns the CDA Bonds?

Saturday, May 23rd, 2009

While we all sit around and debate the pros and cons of a baseball stadium in Shockoe Bottom, we can observe the death throes of a similarly structured public/private development project currently playing out in real time, and just right down the street. From the RT-D’s Mike Martz:

The city advanced more than $655,000 yesterday to the Broad Street Community Development Authority to make up a shortfall in the debt payment due June 1 on bonds that were sold six years ago to pay for new parking, demolition of Sixth Street Marketplace and public improvements to the declining downtown retail corridor…

The authority already expects to face a shortfall of $1.58 million in debt service over the next year in the budget it adopted Thursday. Richmond is obligated to pay up to $3 million a year in debt service on the bonds if there isn’t enough money from parking revenues to pay the bill…

The parking authority hasn’t been able to generate the revenue that had been projected to finance $67.5 million in bonds issued in 2003 to spruce up the Broad and Grace street corridors in anticipation of a new performing arts center and hotel that were much slower to be built than expected then. As a result, the authority can’t afford to build garages on two surface parking lots, or complete the renovation of three floors on an existing parking garage.

We should all be shocked (shocked!) to see a deal that private investors wouldn’t touch without a city guarantee unfold so gloriously - actual revenues have come in at about 50% of what was projected. And the city already contributes, either directly or through the RRHA, nearly one quarter of the CDA’s funds. So, even before this bailout, in no way has this project ever been “free” as advertised.

So I think this provides the appropriate context in which to view the proposed stadium. And for the record, I am a huge baseball fan and would love to see something like this built downtown. I would also like to be 2 inches taller, 10 lbs lighter and offer the citizenry free ice cream on Fridays in the summer. Maybe once it gets built we could even work out a publicly-funded “Free Lapdance Night” with Sam Moore across the street at Club Velvet. Now that is a proposal I could get behind. But, I digress.

The common thread throughout all of these public/private deals is that the profits are privatized while the risks are socialized. In most cases it is even worse than a “heads they win tails we lose” situation. Instead it is a “heads they win and tails they still win and we lose” setup. Consider all of the fees and reimbursements paid to the developer, ECI Investment Advisors, LLC for their sterling management of the project. Oh, and we gave them the Miller and Rhoads property too. They did rehab it into condos (which we so desperately need more of) and a hotel, but it looks like they received zillions of tax credits and other subsidies to mostly pay for that.

In addition to ECI, there is one more group that is getting a pretty sweet ride as a result of the bailout - the CDA bond holders. They are being paid what amounts to a “junk” bond rate, 7.5% tax free, while having the backstop of a AA-rated major city. And before you poo-poo 7.5%, consider that the interest is exempt from Federal and state income tax (for Virginia residents). That is a taxable equivalent annual yield of about 12.5%. Not too shabby, eh? It’s an even sweeter deal if the bondholders could somehow make sure the city would ride to the rescue when things went south - because without the city this thing would be headed to default and the bonds would be worth about as much as your average subprime mortgage. But if you knew the city would step in, then there really wouldn’t be any risk to it at all - right?

So, who are these intrepid investors? George Soros? John Paulson? the Oracle of Omaha? Well, unfortunately we just don’t know. What we do know is that back in 2003 the CDA tried and failed to sell the bonds without a city guarantee. As the project looked like it would collapse, the city caved and gave its “moral obligation” and boosted the bonds’ interest rate. The bonds finally sold, and thanks to Silver Persinger, keeper of RT-D archives, we know that:

…Legg Mason declined to name the investors but said six were institutions such as insurance companies and mutual funds and five were individuals.

Since city taxpayers are now on the hook for this thing, I think it is time to unmask these fine fellows. I think it’s important to see if some of these individuals are the same people that foisted this project upon us in the first place. Then maybe we can have an honest discussion as to whether they should be bailed out. And as for the identity of the five “individual” CDA bondholders, it’s just a guess, but the smart money is betting that one of them is this guy

Toast if not for TARP

Friday, May 8th, 2009

first-market-npa1

As we covered previously First Market Bank is selling out to Bowling Green, Virginia-based (yes Richmond it has come to THAT) Union Bankshares for approximately $120 million. The Ukrop family and their affiliates stand ready to receive UBSH stock valued at the princely sum of about $65 million. As the graph, above, shows (updated for bad loans more than doubling last quarter), life was about to get increasingly difficult for green-grocer-cum-banker, brother Jim.

But, as with other unpleasantness in his charmed life, one or more branches of our government stood ready with as many taxpayer dollars as needed to turn this sow’s ear into a silk purse. In this case it took $34 million of our rapidly depreciating currency to insure he emerged unruffled. So, instead of sitting at his Chairman’s desk, nervously waiting to hear a knock on the door from this guy, soon he will be able to relax at home and contemplate some new toys.

About the only thing hopeful we can say about this whole affair is that it moves us one step closer to a future without leaders like this bankster.

P.S. We hear rumblings that the grocery store may be on the block. If anyone has information, we would love to hear it!

Ukrop Haul Nukes 140 Jobs

Sunday, April 5th, 2009

Here’s the rundown on the fabulous moolah that the Ukrop boys will be pocketing as a result of selling First Market Bank to Union Bankshares. The payout to First Market Bank shareholders is to be made with Union Bankshares common stock (Nasdaq ticker: UBSH), which closed at $17.03 per share on Friday afternoon. So, the dollar value of the Ukrops’ payout, currently pegged at about $64 million, will fluctuate until they sell. Below is Saverichmond’s summary of the information from Union’s most recent SEC form 8k (the final page shows you First Market’s shareholders):

sellout4

Keep an eye on UBSH filings to see when they cash out, which I bet will be as soon as they are allowed. Like me and a spoon and a $7 pint of Ukrop’s chicken salad (and not the low-fat, sissy kind, mind you), most of it will be gone in the blink of an eye. Chest….on….fire….must…..have…..Prilosec…..

The two firms combined have received $93 million in bailout funding from the U.S. Treasury’s Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) for struggling financial institutions. Given the recent deterioration in the financial position of both banks, Saverichmond believes this transaction would not have been possible at all, or could have only proceeded at a much reduced price, in the absence of the taxpayer subsidy. By now, both firms would probably have been asked by their regulator to raise new capital - with terms far more onerous, and which would have diluted ownership.

So, as you ponder the greatness that is Jim Ukrop, keep in mind that this transaction that enriches him so, done with your tax dollars, will result in 140 job losses.

From the RTD (R.I.P.):

Union Bankshares employs 670 people, including 93 at its mortgage operations. First Market employs 370 people.

From RichmondBizSense:

Union First Market Bankshares Corp., as the new entity will be named, will have 900 employees, according to company representatives who spoke at a news conference Monday morning.

Well done, Banksters.

Ukrop Cashes Out

Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

Richmond BizSense scoops everyone else with the news that Jim Ukrop has sold First Market Bank to Union Bankshares for $105 million. Shareholders of First Market Bank, which include Ukrops Supermarkets, Markel Corp and the Ukrop Family, will receive 6.7 million shares of Union Bankshares common stock, which last traded at $13.43 per share.

First Market Bank ran into trouble over the past year as its thin capital base was eroded by losses on loans and Freddie Mac preferred stock. In the fourth quarter of 2008 First Market was forced to raise additional equity from Markel Corp. in order to maintain adequate levels of regulatory capital. And in February, the bank received a $33.9 million bailout from the federal government’s Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). Given the huge preferred stock dividends payable to the Feds and large looming losses as a result of the worsening credit environment (First Market Bank’s loan portfolio was heavy in residential and commercial real estate and auto loans) this was the easy way out.

More to come on this one as we read the SEC filings, including how much the Ukrop family stands to pocket as a result of our tax dollars propping up their bank. Stay tuned…

Is Your College Fund Safe? - Part Deux

Sunday, March 1st, 2009

Cartoon from Eric G. Lewis

Cartoon from Eric G. Lewis

I was wrong about the RTD’s Mike Martz in my previous post. It turns out that he has done some quite in-depth reporting on the Virginia College Savings Plan and the beginnings of their current troubles. Folks interested in reading about the first wisps of smoke that preceeded the current fire should check out his November 6, 2008, article here. And, given the grave troubles in newspaper land (the Rocky Mountain News and San Francisco Chronicle appear to be the latest casualties) perhaps we should all be “hugging” RTD reporters instead of throwing stones. My apologies.

That said, the problems with the Virginia Prepaid Education Program (VPEP) were far more serious than what was acknowledged by the Plan’s officials in the article on November 6, and not mentioned at all in the one soliciting new contracts last week. Their prescription of higher new contract prices, perhaps sufficient to close the June 30 $51 million deficit, is a flyspeck compared to the yawning $500 million+ shortfall visible by the date the article went to print (and it has grown substantially since). They just can’t price the new contracts high enough to fill in the hole. And raising prices even modestly from here would make the plan a lousy economic deal that no one would buy. Simply put, the money to pay for it is gone, but the obligation to pay tuition for thousands of Virginians remains.

Given the Plan officials’ sanguine words (and those of the Auditor of Public Accounts), I wish the piece had included the opinion of a some kind of third party actuarial/pension expert. At this point it looks to me like the Plan will need to ask the Commonwealth for a bailout in order to maintain its long-term viability. How can it be allowed to continue to accept new contracts while in an insolvent position? As covered in the previous post and Martz’s article, there is no explicit State guarantee of these contracts - only the mandate to include bailout funding in the Governor’s budget. As the economic downturn continues, VPEP will have to compete for its bailout with many other worthy enterprises, all looking for a piece of the shrinking state pie. Will there be enough to go around?

In order for the Virginia Prepaid Education Program to continue in its mission, it must be able to offer contract purchasers a reasonable deal in exchange for an iron-clad guarantee. It cannot make such an offer today. VPEP is not alone in its struggles. Many other financial institutions (banks, insurance companies) have found themselves in trouble during this economic downturn as a result of making financial guarantees. All of this begs the question: should the Commonwealth be in the tuition guaranteeing business in the first place?

Anyhow, now that things haven’t worked out so swimmingly, I hope Martz revisits the story. I think it could be dynamite.

P.S. Check out the new “Message to Our Owners” on the Virginia College Savings Plan homepage.